Monday, September 26, 2022

How Would Iran Respond to US Withdrawal from Nuclear Deal?

A former Iranian diplomat has weighed in on Iran’s probable strategies to respond to Washington’s possible withdrawal from the nuclear deal between Tehran and world powers, known as the JCPOA.

Iranian political analyst and former diplomat Javid Qorbanughli has, in a Monday editorial published in Shargh daily, referred to Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif’s statements made last week who stressed that if the US leaves the nuclear accord, Iran will think of withdrawing from the deal with the P5+1 group along with other options.

Qorbanughli stresses in this article that it is clear the new sanctions the Congress is likely to impose on Iran is a violation of the JCPOA, which means that Washington has broken down the international agreement.

The commentator discusses what should be done against such a decision by the United States that was one of the most important and influential members of the P5+1 group during the nuclear talks. Qorbanughli also weighs in on what Iran’s reaction should be.

“There are two ways of reaction to the possible US breach of the deal. A group of people believe that Iran must respond in a strong way and resume its nuclear program as quickly as possible. They say we knew from the very beginning that the United States will not adhere to the deal, and we must resume our nuclear activities with our full potential and return to the pre-accord situation as soon as possible.”

“In contrast to this view, the other ones believe that Iran must stand up to any US action, and by treading the path it has already taken, mobilize the world against Washington’s unilateral decision through an active diplomacy.”

The author then emphasizes that under the current circumstances, Trump’s stance has isolated the US, and contrary to the pre-accord conditions when the whole world was against Iran, now the international community is against the United States.

“It seems that the Islamic Republic has come to the conclusion it should avoid any action that may be taken as breach of the deal by Tehran.”

At the end, Qorbanughli suggests that “Iran must firmly insist it is fully committed to the accord and adheres to it, and let the other signatory states decide on a clear violation of the agreement by the Washington. This stance will affect the world’s public opinion, and the consequences of any action by Tehran in the event of US violation would put the finger of blame on the White House and the Congress.

The author concludes that Trump’s stance today is a result of his nervousness which is quite to the benefit of the Islamic Republic.

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