UK predicts Ukraine war could persist beyond 2026

The war between Russia and Ukraine is likely to rage on for at least another two years, the United Kingdom's foreign secretary has predicted.

David Lammy gave a speech at a conference of the governing Labour Party in Liverpool on Sunday, stressing Britainโ€™s commitment to supporting Kiev. He noted that the government has committed to providing Ukraine with ยฃ3 billion ($3.99 billion) in military aid annually โ€œfor as long as it takes”.

On the same day, the foreign secretary attended an event on the sidelines of the conference, warning that the hostilities could persist into โ€œthe back end of 2025 into 2026โ€ and beyond.

The hardship and challenges arising from the Russia-Ukraine conflict are set to become โ€œdeeper and harsherโ€ in the coming years, he added.

“This is a critical time for nerve and guts and patience and for fortitude on behalf of allies who stand with Ukraine,โ€ Lammy insisted.

The foreign secretaryโ€™s remarks apparently referred to the unwillingness of US President Joe Bidenโ€™s administration to allow Ukraine to use Western-supplied weapons for long-range strikes into Russiaโ€™s internationally recognized territory. Moscow has warned that giving such permission, which Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky has been demanding for months, would make NATO countries direct participants in the conflict and be met with an appropriate Russian response.

“There is a very real-time discussion across allies about how we can support Ukraine as we head into winter,โ€ the British foreign secretary noted.

However, he refused to reveal details, saying that would only โ€œonly aid [Russian President Vladimir] Putin”.

Lammyโ€™s view on the likely duration of the fighting appears to clash with plans set out by Zelensky โ€“ who claimed last week that he had developed a scheme to end the hostilities by the end of this year if the West makes โ€œquick decisionsโ€ on increasing its support for Kiev.

The Ukrainian leader is now in the US, where he plans to show his so-called โ€˜victory planโ€™ to Biden, members of Congress, and both presidential contenders โ€“ Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

Russia has never set deadlines when it comes to the conflict with Ukraine, and has repeatedly announced that its military operation, which started in February 2022, will continue until its goals are achieved. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov reiterated on Sunday that โ€œthere is no alternative to our [Russian] victory”.

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