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Report: Israel unable to wage wars on Gaza, Lebanon, Iran without US support

The reports, which were released by the Costs of War Project at Brown University, found that without US weapons and money, Israel wouldn’t have been able to sustain its genocidal war on the Gaza Strip, start a war with Iran, or repeatedly bomb Yemen.

The report’s findings are also backed up by analysts who stated that Israel’s wars in the besieged and bombardment enclave and in the wider region could not have continued without US financial and diplomatic support.

Israel’s war on Gaza alone has killed more than 67,150 people and wounded another 169,700 since October 2023.

Thousands are still believed to be under the Gaza Strip’s ruins, while Israel has killed dozens in strikes on Yemen and killed more than 1,000 people when it attacked Iran in June.

It increased raids in the occupied West Bank and Jerusalem; killed over 4,000 people in Lebanon while eviscerating swaths of villages; invaded and occupied Lebanese and Syrian land.

But Israel couldn’t have maintained these wars without constant US support, researchers found.

“Given the scale of current and future spending, it is clear the [Israeli army] could not have done the damage they have done in Gaza or escalated their military activities throughout the region without US financing, weapons, and political support,” read the report – US Military Aid and Arms Transfers to Israel, October 2023–September 2025 – by William D Hartung, a senior research fellow at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft.

Hartung’s report was jointly released by the Costs of War and the Quincy Institute, which describes itself as promoting “ideas that move US foreign policy away from endless war, toward military restraint and diplomacy in the pursuit of international peace”.

Hartung’s findings and a companion report by Linda J Bilmes, an expert on budgeting and public finance at the Harvard Kennedy School, found that the US spent “a total of $31.35 – $33.77 billion and counting” since October 7, 2023 in military aid to Israel and in “US military operations in the region”.

They show how US support for Israel has helped it continue to wage war on multiple fronts for two years, and analysts backed up the reports’ conclusions.
The US has long been Israel’s most fervent backer. When it comes to US foreign aid, Israel is the largest annual recipient (at around $3.3bln yearly) and the largest cumulative one (more than $150bln until 2022).

Over decades and despite the changing of administrations, US support for Israel was constant.

Hartung’s report specifically mentions that the administrations of both US President Joe Biden and his successor, Donald Trump, committed tens of billions of dollars in arms sales agreements, including services and weapons that will be paid for in the coming years.

However, many Americans have started to move away from the mainstream position on Israel. In recent months, as scholars declared the Zionist regime’s actions in Gaza a genocide, public perception of Israel in the US has severely degraded.

This drop is also true among American Jews. According to a recent Washington Post poll, four in 10 US Jews believe Israel is committing genocide, while more than 60 percent say Israel has committed war crimes in Gaza.

A new poll from The New York Times and Siena University also found that nearly two years into the war in Gaza, American support for Israel has undergone a seismic reversal, with large shares of voters expressing starkly negative views about the Israeli government’s management of the conflict.

Disapproval of the war appears to have prompted a striking reassessment by American voters of their broader sympathies in the decades-old conflict in the region, with slightly more voters siding with Palestinians over Israelis for the first time since The Times began asking voters about their sympathies in 1998.

In the aftermath of the Hamas-led attacks on the occupied territories in October 2023, American voters broadly sympathized with Israelis over Palestinians, with 47 percent siding with Israel and 20 percent with Palestinians. In the new poll, 34 percent said they sided with Israel and 35 percent with Palestinians. Thirty-one percent said they were unsure or backed both equally.

A majority of American voters now oppose sending additional economic and military aid to Israel, a stunning reversal in public opinion since the October attacks. About six out of 10 voters said that Israel should end its military campaign, even if the remaining Israeli hostages were not released or Hamas was not eliminated. And 40 percent of voters said Israel was intentionally killing civilians in Gaza, nearly double the number of voters who agreed with that statement in the 2023 poll.

Analysts believe that could have a big impact going forward for anyone in US politics.

In addition to US public criticism of Israel’s actions in the Middle East, analysts say figures like the ones shown by the Costs of War Project’s reports may also draw ire from Americans frustrated by where their tax dollars are going.

 

President Pezeshkian says Iran not to become battleground for foreign aggressors

Speaking at the National Day of Villages and Nomads, President Masoud Pezeshkian stressed, “We will never allow Iran to become a field for bandits or foreign aggressors.”

Pezeshkian declared, “We will overcome all challenges with strength. Through knowledge, unity, and wisdom, we will emerge from every crisis with our heads held high.”

He added that “false claimants of human rights, blinded by money and power, will never stop their oppression.”

The president further stated, “The world’s bullies remain blind to their own crimes.”

 

Iran’s navy cmdr.: New joint Caspian drill planned soon

Shahram Irani

Speaking at a meeting of Caspian Sea naval commanders hosted by Russia in St. Petersburg, Rear Admiral Irani expressed satisfaction over the recent combined exercise in Bandar Anzali and the southern Caspian coast, describing it as a successful example of regional cooperation.

“The Caspian Sea belongs exclusively to its five littoral states—Iran, Russia, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and the Republic of Azerbaijan—and all issues concerning it must be resolved only by these countries,” he said.

“The Caspian Sea is no place for transregional powers, and the coastal nations will not permit their interference.”

He underscored that the littoral countries possess sufficient capability to ensure lasting security in the region while promoting economic vitality and addressing environmental challenges.

Admiral Aleksandr Moiseyev, Commander of the Russian Navy, praised the strong coordination among the Caspian states, saying such meetings help align perspectives, strengthen regional synergy, and create equitable opportunities for economic cooperation.

The gathering brought together the naval commanders of Iran, Russia, Kazakhstan, and Azerbaijan to reinforce maritime collaboration in securing stability, supporting economic activity, and addressing shared issues in the Caspian basin.

Rear Admiral Irani attended the meeting accompanied by Iran’s ambassador to Russia and senior naval officers.

Iranian gov’t spokesperson briefly leaves press conference due to illness

According to local media, the incident occurred during Mohajerani’s meeting with reporters when she left the room unexpectedly, prompting a brief pause in the event.

Upon her return, Mohajerani apologized to journalists for the interruption, explaining that her condition was due to exhaustion.

“I apologize, it happens to anyone. The workload and pressure sometimes cause weakness,” she said with a smile.

The press conference resumed shortly afterward, during which Mohajerani addressed a range of issues including Iran’s regional diplomacy, economic reforms, and recent comments about potential US proposals.

Two security forces killed in terrorist attack in western Iran

IRGC

The IRGC’s Beit-al-Moqaddas Command in Kordestan announced that the assault targeted the Hezbollah Resistance Base at the Sarvabad three-way junction in western Iran.

The attackers reportedly used a hand grenade during the incident.

The victims were identified as Alireza Valizadeh and Ayoub Shiri.
Three other individuals were injured and transferred to a local hospital for treatment.

Authorities have condemned the attack, labeling it a terrorist act carried out by members of “anti-revolutionary groups.” Security forces have reportedly launched an operation to identify and apprehend those responsible.

Iranian security forces have periodically clashed with armed groups, mostly foreign-based, on the western border.

Iran daily criticizes years of delay over CFT approval

Tehran Grand bazaar

According to the paper, the Expediency Council last week conditionally approved the Combating the Financing of Terrorism (CFT) bill, a key measure linked to Iran’s potential cooperation with the Financial Action Task Force (FATF).

The report claimed that one cleric’s statement declaring the CFT “forbidden and illegitimate” was among the factors that stalled the decision.

The newspaper questioned the cleric’s authority to issue such religious judgments, saying his “unfounded remarks” contributed to years of economic stagnation and currency devaluation, from 15,000 to 118,000 tomans per US dollar during that period.

The editorial also held the Expediency Council responsible for the delay, asking why members who now consider the bill beneficial opposed it for so long.

It further called for accountability and structural reform within the council, arguing that its members must meet high intellectual and ethical standards to properly safeguard national interests.

The Jomhouri-e Eslami concluded that Iran’s decision-making bodies need greater transparency and responsibility to prevent similar costly delays in the future.

Iranian gov’t spokesperson: US conditions not yet official, cannot be seriously reviewed

Araghchi Witkoff

Addressing questions about reports of a potential meeting between Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi and US envoy Steve Witkoff, Mohajerani said government officials act based on collective decisions rather than personal opinions.

“Neither the foreign minister nor I have the right to express or act upon personal views. The executive branch implements only those matters that have been collectively agreed upon,” she stated.

Speaking at her weekly press conference, Mohajerani also outlined the government’s foreign policy priorities, highlighting regional diplomacy and stronger ties with neighboring countries, including through the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).

She said Iran is pursuing trade initiatives such as barter mechanisms, border markets, and special economic zones, while also focusing on budget discipline, financial balance, and structural reforms to improve government efficiency.

Mohajerani also emphasized that Iran supports any sustainable peace that leads to an end to the Israeli genocide in Gaza.

Trump threatened to pull US out of NATO: Ex-bloc chief

In excerpts from his upcoming memoir On My Watch, Stoltenberg recalls that ahead of a 2018 NATO summit in Brussels, Trump, then in his first term, complained that the US was paying 80-90% of the bloc’s expenses and wasn’t going to do so anymore, threatening to leave.

“Look, if we leave, we leave. You need NATO, desperately. We don’t need NATO,” Stoltenberg quoted Trump as saying, noting that if the US had withdrawn from the bloc, “the alliance would be dead.”

Trump later reportedly made similar remarks during the summit, stating the US “doesn’t need NATO” and would “do our own thing” unless European members increased military spending to 2% of GDP. He also reportedly threatened to walk out, adding, “There’s no reason for me to be here anymore.”

Trump’s attitude reportedly prompted fears that the bloc could fall apart. Stoltenberg says Germany’s then-Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Emmanuel Macron tried to calm tensions, while former Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte, who now leads NATO, helped persuade Trump to stay by noting that bloc members had increased spending by $33 billion.

Stoltenberg says Trump agreed to remain after being publicly credited for that spending rise.

The former NATO chief wrote that if Trump had walked out, it would’ve made the bloc’s treaty and security guarantees worthless. He also added that the episode highlighted how dependent it was on US participation.

 

 

Spokesman: Europe has no authority to comment on Iran’s defense capabilities

Esmail Baghaei

The PGCC — comprising Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, and Qatar — and the EU issued a joint statement on Monday during their 29th ministerial meeting, calling on Iran to halt its missile program and to cooperate with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

In response, spokesperson Esmail Baqaei on Tuesday dismissed the joint statement’s “baseless and interventionist claims,” including the UAE’s repeated assertions regarding Iran’s sovereignty over the Greater Tunb, Lesser Tunb, and Abu Musa islands.

He condemned the “unwarranted interference” in Iran’s defense and nuclear affairs and warned against divisive European policies in the Persian Gulf.

Baqaei reaffirmed that the three islands are an inseparable part of Iranian territory, stressing that “repeated baseless claims in political statements have no legal value and cannot change geographical and historical facts.”

He advised southern Persian Gulf states to stop repeating “tired and unfounded accusations” against Iran’s territorial integrity and to focus instead on building mutual trust, strengthening regional friendship, and addressing the greatest threat to peace and stability — the Israeli regime.

Criticizing the “subversive role” of certain European countries such as Germany and France — supporters of “the genocidal Israeli regime,” which remains the only nuclear-armed entity in the region — Baqaei said EU interference in Persian Gulf and Sea of Oman affairs does nothing to resolve regional disputes.

The spokesperson also described the joint PGCC–EU statement on Iran’s defense capabilities as “unwarranted and unacceptable interference in matters related to Iran’s national sovereignty.”

He added: “Those who have turned our region into a vast arsenal of advanced and destructive weapons worth hundreds of billions of dollars — and who, through inaction in the face of an expansionist, genocidal regime or by providing it with comprehensive military and political support, have plunged West Asia into endless wars — are in no position whatsoever to comment on Iran’s indigenous and defensive capabilities.”

Baqaei further expressed regret that PGCC member states, instead of holding the EU accountable for its regional policies, have “provided a platform for its deceptive blame-shifting.”

Iran objects to British court’s order over NIOC building seizure: Report

Iran Embassy UK

The ruling was issued following a lawsuit filed by Crescent Company, which claimed that the National Iranian Oil Company transferred the property known as “NIOC House” in London to the Oil Industry Employees Pension and Welfare Fund in order to remove its assets from the reach of creditors after an international arbitration award was issued in the company’s favor.

IRNA quoted an unnamed source as saying that Iran formally registered its objection to a UK court ruling on October 3. The court is expected to rule on whether to accept or reject this objection in the coming days.

The source further stated that if the objection is denied and the previous ruling stands, Iranian legal representatives are prepared to appeal the case to the UK Supreme Court.

The Court of Appeal recently upheld a prior decision from the London Court of First Instance, granting authorization to enforce the seizure order for the NIOC’s London building.

The Crescent case dates back to the 2001 gas contract between the National Iranian Oil Company and the Crescent Group, which was not implemented, and the dispute between the parties was referred to international arbitration, and ultimately a verdict was issued in favor of the Emirati company.